JUNYI SHI

What is the probability of Earling Haaland scoring more than 40 goals in the 2022/23 Premier League?

Started Jan. 20, 2023

Abstract or project description

Earling Haaland is scoring goals at a pace of more than 1 goal a game. While most league leaders in goals scored in other domestic leagues are not scoring at nearly the same pace, he seems to manage to be able to find the goal much more frequently. Using publicly available data and logistic regression, find the odds of Haaland scoring more than 40 goals in this season.

First of all, I need to find all Haaland’s datas in recent seasons and upload them to R Studio. Then, changing the variables and using Poisson regression or logistic regression to determine how many goals are probably in one game. Eventually, the percentage of 40+ goal seasons could be seen as the probability of scoring 40+ goals.